RotoViz was a pioneer of the idea of structural drafting, often in tandem with the idea that the flex wins championships and that fantasy football drafts are a race to fill the flex. But we’ve always paired structural drafting with evidence-based player-level research. Success in fantasy is not as simple as drafting the right number of RBs or drafting a QB in the right round, […]

The post How to Use the Win the Flex and Range of Outcomes Tools to Find Undervalued Wide Receivers appeared first on RotoViz.

Best Ball Mania IV is in full swing, and player ADPs are becoming more rigid every day as drafters anchor to the number next to a player’s name. This situation gives savvy drafters an advantage though, as it makes it much easier to plan a draft round-by-round. Using our Underdog ADP tool — now with the ability to show an ADP Draft Grid — we […]

The post My Favorite Targets in Each Round of Early Underdog Drafts: Part 2 – The Correlation Picks appeared first on RotoViz.

Best Ball Mania IV is in full swing, and player ADPs are becoming more rigid every day as drafters anchor to the number next to a player’s name. This situation gives savvy drafters an advantage though, as it makes it much easier to plan a draft round-by-round. Using our Underdog ADP tool — now with the ability to show an ADP Draft Grid — we […]

The post My Favorite Targets in Each Round of Early Underdog Drafts: Part 1 – The Foundation Picks appeared first on RotoViz.

In Part 1, Blair Andrews argued that Jahmyr Gibbs is undervalued in best ball, even at his current valuation, right at the Round 3/4 turn. Rookie running backs drafted in the first 100 reality picks — especially those who are young — have a better chance than most other RBs to put up big scores in the fantasy playoffs. But an obvious question remains: can […]

The post This Method for Crushing Underdog Tournaments With Rookie RBs Is Counterintuitive But Powerful appeared first on RotoViz.

Shawn Siegele, Dave Caban, Curtis Patrick, and I spent NFL Draft Sunday night arguing (in a friendly way) about rookie rankings and completing mock drafts for Volume 3 of the RotoViz Rookie Guide. I spent much of that time trying to convince my co-rankers that reasonable people could rank Jahmyr Gibbs as the rookie 1.01. I even took him first overall in one of our […]

The post Jahmyr Gibbs Is the Best Value in Every Draft: How to Find Rookie RB Stars in Underdog’s Best Ball Mania IV appeared first on RotoViz.

RotoViz writers have been keeping busy over the last two days with up-to-minute reactions for all the fantasy-relevant draft picks in the first three rounds. Be sure to check out our previous draft coverage and pre-draft research. Day 1 Instant Fantasy Reactions: Where the Stars Belong Now Superflex Rookie Draft Projections Following Round 1 Day 2 Instant Reactions: Rising Studs and Super Sleepers on a […]

The post Chase Brown’s Elite Production and Athleticism Could Help Him Earn an Immediate Role in Cincinnati appeared first on RotoViz.

RotoViz writers have been keeping busy over the last two days with up-to-minute reactions for all the fantasy-relevant draft picks in the first three rounds. Be sure to check out our previous draft coverage and pre-draft research. Day 1 Instant Fantasy Reactions: Where the Stars Belong Now Superflex Rookie Draft Projections Following Round 1 Day 2 Instant Reactions: Rising Studs and Super Sleepers on a […]

The post Tyler Scott Has the Production Profile We Like to See, But Can He Make the Most of His Opportunities in Chicago? appeared first on RotoViz.

The NFL Draft is only hours away, and when it comes we will get our most telling indication of how our favorite prospects’ NFL careers might go. Nothing predicts NFL success better than draft position, in part because nothing determines early NFL opportunity quite like draft position. But just because draft position is the most predictive metric, that doesn’t mean it’s entirely efficient. . . […]

The post How to Smash the NFL Draft: Key RB Receiving Stats, Plus Other Advanced Metrics To Gain a Fantasy Edge appeared first on RotoViz.

The NFL Draft is only hours away, and when it comes we will get our most telling indication of how our favorite prospect’s NFL careers might go. Nothing predicts NFL success better than draft position, in part because nothing determines early NFL opportunity quite like draft position. But just because draft position is the most predictive metric, that doesn’t mean it’s entirely efficient. What do […]

The post Is the NFL Draft Efficient? Running Back Metrics That Help You Project the NFL Draft . . . and Then Beat It In Fantasy appeared first on RotoViz.

In The Wrong Read, No. 76, Blair Andrews dives into the definition of a breakout season for collegiate WR prospects and suggests a path for improving the metric. We’ve long defined a wide receiver breakout as a player’s first season in which they achieve a 30% dominator rating. While that has proven to be among the most accurate and discerning measures of college breakouts, it’s […]

The post Jaxon Smith-Njigba and a Multi-Definitional Look at Breakout Age for Wide Receiver Prospects appeared first on RotoViz.